Firestick Estate Inc. believe the history of Australia’s new paradigm extreme bushfire risk – the worst case scenario death toll estimate – began with a credible and appropriately presented scientific Paper:

“In 1990, nationally prominent bushfire expert David Packham, formally delivered an extreme bushfire ‘risk estimate’ to the Federal government: ‘… the loss of 1000 lives and 15,000 homes…’ Bushfires in Australia, What is the risk? presented by David Packham to the Royal Australian Planning Institute, Australian Counter Disaster College, Mount Macedon, 1990, published in Australian Planner, March 1992…we believe the government’s legal culpability appears to have begun in 1990” (“mass murder” and the coverups, 2024, Chapter 4, Thousands of lives, page 42).

The next mention of a ‘risk estimate’, of one thousand or more fatalities in it, was on national television, 19 years later, and days after the government’s neglect, with ignitions and fuel, accelerated the Black Saturday Fires into raging infernos, killing 173 people:

“In 2009, shortly after the Black Saturday Fires, Mr Packham’s expert opinion was highly sought after by national, even international media. When asked to appear on Australia’s ‘top rating’ television program, to answer a shocked nation’s outrage, he agreed. His revised ‘risk estimate’ was “thousands”, a minimum of 2 times higher than his 1990 ‘risk estimate’. This was due to the exponential effect on fire intensity of growing landscape level fuel loads over the intervening 19 years. After repeatedly saying the cause was ‘… extensive quantities of very heavily neglected fuels …’, Mr Packham clearly stated to television viewers across Australia: ‘Common sense will tell you … the death toll will … be measured in the thousands” (mass murder” and the coverups, 2024, Chapter 4, Thousands of lives, page 42).

It appears Mr Packham’s ‘risk estimate’ of ‘thousands of lives’ was not refuted by the government, because they secretly believed the figure was higher. What is more apparent to us, is that ‘thousands of lives’ was censored by the government and it’s willing propaganda media, for 10 years (10 February 2009 to 30 October 2019), when one Australian newspaper published the crucial words, ‘thousands of lives’:

“…government officers and Australia’s propaganda media enabled the false ‘government narrative’ to effectively deny our nation’s ‘secret’ extreme bushfire’s ‘risk estimate’. A risk, we believe the government knew was, exponentially increasing from before the 2003 Canberra firestorm. In our opinion that was the clearly seen warning, the government negligently ignored, just six years before the horror of the Black Saturday Fires…Finally, the words ‘thousands of lives’ had been appropriately published by a ‘newspaper of record’…Fuel loads hit extreme The Weekly Times, 30 October 2019”.  (“mass murder” and the coverups, 2024, Chapter 22, Government censorship ends, page 129).